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Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Latest Obama-Clinton Polling

Obama is still trending up in the two major national tracking polls during a period when Clinton's Bosnia sniper fantasy dominated much of the coverage. I'd guess this will continue when the impacts of the Clinton tax return release and Mark Penn's serious conflict of interest on Colombian "free" trade enter the picture.

NATIONAL

Gallup daily tracking poll. 4/4-6. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/2-5 results)

Obama 52 (49)
Clinton 43 (46)

Rasmussen daily tracking poll. 4/3-6. Likely voters. MoE 3% (4/3-5 results)

Obama 51 (50)
Clinton 41 (42)

UPDCOMING PRIMARY STATES
Clinton's still leading in Indiana anywhere from 3 to 10 points, but Obama has made inroads. She's way ahead in Kentucky. The results in both states essentially  match expectations. Obama is dramatically ahead in North Carolina, as predicted. In Pennsylvania, Obama seems to be closing the gap rather dramatically, at least according to the two most recent polls, although results are all over the map. Suffice it to say the race in PA is in flux:

INDIANA

Pollster Dates N/Pop Clinton Obama Undecided
ARG 4/2-3/08 600 LV 53 44 2
Research 2000 3/31-4/2/08 400 LV 49 46 2
SurveyUSA 3/29-31/08 530 LV 52 43 1

KENTUCKY

Pollster Dates N/Pop Clinton Obama Undecided
SurveyUSA  3/28-30/08 572 LV 58 29 4

NORTH CAROLINA

Pollster Dates N/Pop Clinton Obama Undecided
PPP (D)  4/5-6/08 928 LV 33 54 13
Rasmussen  4/3/08 704 LV 33 56 11
Charlotte Observer  3/29-4/1/08 400 LV 26 35 39
ARG  3/29-30/08 600 LV 38 51 7

PENNSYLVANIA

Pollster Dates N/Pop Clinton Obama Undecided
ARG  4/5-6/08 600 LV 45 45 6
InsiderAdvantage  4/2/08 659 LV 45 43 12
Muhlenberg  3/27-4/2/08 406 LV 51 41 6
PPP (D)  3/31-4/1/08 1224 LV 43 45 13
Rasmussen  3/31/08 730 LV 47 42 11
SurveyUSA  3/29-31/08 LV 53 41 2
Quinnipiac  3/24-31/08 1549 RV 50 41 8
Strategic Vision (R)  3/28-30/08 LV 49 41 10

All polling data from https://www.pollster.com/.

April 8, 2008 at 07:00 AM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink

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