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Sunday, January 27, 2008

Obama More Than Doubles Hillary's Vote Totals in SC Primary

Quite a victory for Mr. Obama yesterday in South Carolina. That's his spine-tingling celebration speech above. At the county level (see map), Edwards won only his county of birth in the NW corner of South Carolina and Clinton won only the seaside county that encompasses Myrtle Beach and other resort towns. Obama won all the rest.

Exit polling results provide detailed voter profiles. Obama won every age group, a majority of both males and females, those with college degrees and without, in every income level and within every political philosophy category. He won 78% of African-Americans and 24% of white voters in a Southern state that still flies the flag of the confederacy on its statehouse grounds. Voter turnout was about 532,000, compared with 290,000 who voted in the state's 2004 Dem primary. Obama's vote total was larger than that of the top two Repub candidates combined -- McCain and Huckabee -- in this year's Repub SC primary. And Obama received more votes than all Democrats in the 2004 South Carolina Democratic Primary. I guess Howard Dean's 50-state strategy (mocked by the Clinton wing) is working.

Ted & Caroline Kennedy
Today's spine-tingling New York Times op-ed by Caroline Kennedy endorsing Obama is the icing on the cake. Excerpt:

I have never had a president who inspired me the way people tell me that my father inspired them. But for the first time, I believe I have found the man who could be that president — not just for me, but for a new generation of Americans.

And today it was reported that Sen. Ted Kennedy will appear tomorrow morning at American University in Washington with his niece Caroline Kennedy to endorse Obama. According to an aide, Kennedy will campaign actively for Obama and will focus particularly among Hispanics and labor union members in states like California, New York, New Jersey, Arizona and New Mexico. It's powerful that Barack is getting endorsements from both Red and Blue State politicos.

Clinton's Rush to Leave SC
Very telling that Hillary Clinton decided to diss the results and flee to a rally in Tennessee without bothering to offer Obama (or those who labored in the trenches for her campaign) a traditional concession speech. Clinton's clumsy two-for-the-price-of-one campaign has repeatedly demonstrated it's not going to follow the rules or any of the niceties of Democratic politics. When you have someone like slithery Mark Penn calling the shots, that's not unexpected.

Did anyone else see any of Bill Clinton's speech last night in Independence, Missouri -- given at the same time Obama was addressing his supporters? Bill spent significant verbiage carrying on about himself and his achievements as President. It can be hard to decipher for whom he's campaigning. Sometimes I think his mind shifts back to 1996 or so when he gets up on a dais.

The Clinton campaign may have a difficult time in Missouri, one of the February 5th Super Tuesday states. Former Sen. Jean Carnahan (widow of highly popular Missouri Gov. Mel Carnahan) and current Sen. Claire McCaskill have both endorsed Obama (and been outspoken about Bill Clinton's shading of the truth about Obama) -- just for starters.

Punditry
Odd how the media pundits are now questioning whether Obama can win over sufficient numbers of white voters. Wasn't it just the other day they were asking whether he was "black enough" to capture African-American voters? Well, so far he's won in the lily-white state of Iowa, as well as in South Carolina, where 50%+ of the Dem primary voter pool is African-American. Quite a range.

January 27, 2008 at 11:18 AM in 2008 Presidential Primary | Permalink

Comments

Good point about Mark Penn, the slimiest of the slime. If you watched the CNN coverage of the expected Ted Kennedy endorsement, they made it clear that it was leaked to them by Clinton. No doubt Penn's idea to try to steal some of the impact from Obama. No chance, Pig Penn. But that won't slow Penn and Clinton down from keeping the slime game going.
Mark is such a friend of the African American.

Umm, Pig Penn, how many work for Penn Schoen Berland? (Not the hourly workers you contract out the phone bank work, real full time PSB executives feeding at the Hillary '08 money trough?

Caroline's endorsement was moving and basically erased the NYT endorsement that the Clintons sucked up so hard to get. And Ted's endorsement is BIG.

Funny thing was I used to support Hillary, until Penn cam along and unleashed the dogs.

Posted by: Lester | Jan 27, 2008 4:20:03 PM

Edwards got 40% of the white vote in SC. Obama won on the black vote.

I am tired of hearing the negative remarks about Bill Clinton. He was a terrific president compared to any Rep president. I prospered during the Clinton Administration.
What's more the comments regarding Clinton are irrelevant.
Dems! STOP TEARING EACH OTHER UP! I am upset about how much the left here is hooked into the petty horse race rather than focusing on the real issues of war, torture, warrentless wire-tapping, depressed wages, predatory lending, broken health care system and dilapidated infrastructure and environmental havoc. PLEASE!
Focus people! Stop watching TV and place your thoughts on what really matters. Just how does these candidate's rhetoric match their actions and voting record? Who pays for their campaigns and who will receive favors?

BTW
Dish Network censored Obama's interview on This Week with GS today. Sports is on when the Dish guide clearly states that This Week should be on...again! This is the only show in which this happens. Anybody else missing This Week today?

Posted by: qofdisks | Jan 27, 2008 4:40:09 PM

gofdisks: We don't have cable or satellite, and my husband like to watch This Week at 4. Today on Channel 7 it was superseded by basketball (which was scheduled from 11 to 3). Maybe the game ran over -- we didn't try again later.

Posted by: Michelle Meaders | Jan 27, 2008 7:54:16 PM

The 50-state strategy will be toast if Clinton wins, and Howard Dean will be sent packing back to Vermont. How sad if that happens!

Also, about the Caroline Kennedy endorsement: what struck me wasn't her mention of her father, whom she barely knew, sadly, but her mention of her three teenage children, all of whom are inspired by Obama.

My daughter feels the same way, and she's pretty apolitical (imagine that!). But there's something about Obama that appeals strongly to her. That is, surprisingly, the main reason I would be devastated if he lost. I wouldn't want to have to tell my daughter the news, and destroy her hopes. I suspect Caroline was thinking along similar lines.

Posted by: KathyF | Jan 28, 2008 6:13:17 AM

Responding to this gofdisks comment:

"I am upset about how much the left here is hooked into the petty horse race rather than focusing on the real issues of war, torture, warrentless wire-tapping, depressed wages, predatory lending, broken health care system and dilapidated infrastructure and environmental havoc. PLEASE!"

I don't know about that. This blog and many others like it have been analyzing and discussing the very issues you name. In fact, I find that progressives are much more informed on issues that more centrist Democrats or ordinary voters on either side of the aisle. That doesn't mean we don't follow the presidential race when things are really heating up and momentum is coalescing around a candidate - Obama in this case.

It means something very deep to me that Ted and Caroline Kennedy, Tom Hayden, Toni Morrison and many others are endorsing Obama. These kinds of people don't endorse lightly.

On voting records, I very much like what Edwards has chosen as his platform this time but I look at his voting record in the Senate and it is almost exactly opposite. I find it hard to trust him and it's become clearer and clearer that his narrow approach to the race, repeating over and over on one issue only, isn't attracting the kind of support he needs to win.

I talked to my family over the weekend and they are angry about Bill Clinton's words and about the things being said by Clinton surrogates. I think they blew it.

Posted by: Josie | Jan 28, 2008 4:10:49 PM

We seldom talk about an elected representative actually representing their constituents. Maybe that's what happened with John Edwards. He was a Senator from a very conservative state, and voted the way they wanted, which probably wasn't the way he believed. Maybe thst's why he didn't run again, and now has a different stand on many of the issues.

In the NM Legislature, I wish they would really represent their constituents on health care and vote for the Health Security Act!

Posted by: Michelle Meaders | Jan 29, 2008 9:50:42 AM

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